“Speculation is not helpful”. Regarding accidents, YES, or NO?
On the NO side. The Safety Institute says no. “Safety Institute of Australia calls for calm in relation to Dreamworld tragedy“. Kevin Jones argues a similar theme.
I say YES. I see the point of the Safety Institute article. I think it is to caution against jumping to a conclusion. But the phrase “speculation is not helpful” caught my attention.
But when trying to work something out, speculation is helpful. More than that, it’s vital. Speculation is where it begins. Possibilities need to be eventually evaluated – tested with science, engineering, logic, facts, analysis – but the process begins with ideas, guesses, hypotheses, questions, hunches – speculation. A narrowing or testing of these possibilities is then needed.
While it is not a good idea to jump to a conclusion, it is a good idea, to consider many possibilities about where to jump in the end. Speculation is what is needed, it’s just not enough on it’s own.
This photo is from The Straits Times @STForeignDesk